The 2009 predictions

And without further adieu…

Sports Illustrated Bill James formula
AL East
1. N.Y. Yankees (97-65) 1. Boston Red Sox (95-67)
2. Boston Red Sox (96-66) 2. N.Y. Yankees (91-71)
3. Tampa Bay Rays (90-72) 3. Tampa Bay Rays (87-69)
4. Baltimore Orioles (80-82) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77)
5. Toronto Blue Jays (79-83) 5. Baltimore Orioles (68-93)
AL Central
1. Minnesota Twins (85-77) 1. Cleveland Indians (86-76)
2. Cleveland Indians (82-80) 2. Minnesota Twins (85-77)
3. Chicago White Sox (79-83) 3. Chicago White Sox (83-79)
4. Detroit Tigers (77-85) 4. Detroit Tigers (79-83)
5. Kansas City Royals (74-88) 5. Kansas City Royals (73-89)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (86-76) 1. L.A. Angels (98-64)
2. Oakland Athletics (81-81) 2. Texas Rangers (78-84)
3. Texas Rangers (73-89) 3. Oakland Athletics (75-87)
4. Seattle Mariners (69-93) 4. Seattle Mariners (70-92)
NL East
1. N.Y. Mets (92-70) 1. Philadelphia Phillies (91-71)
2. Philadelphia Phillies (89-73) 2. N.Y. Mets (89-73)
3. Atlanta Braves (84-78) 3. Florida Marlins (80-82)
4. Florida Marlins (77-85) 4. Atlanta Braves (76-86)
5. Washington Nationals (70-92) 5. Washington Nationals (64-98)
NL Central
1. Chicago Cubs (93-69) 1. Chicago Cubs (93-69)
2. Milwaukee Brewers (84-78) 2. Milwaukee Brewers (88-74)
3. St. Louis Cardinals (82-80) 3. St. Louis Cardinals (83-79)
4. Cincinnati Reds (80-82) 4. Houston Astros (82-80)
5. Houston Astros (70-92) 5. Cincinnati Reds (73-89)
6. Pittsburgh Pirates (64-98) 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (67-95)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers (88-74) 1. Arizona Diamondbacks (85-77)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks (87-75) 2. L.A. Dodgers (83-79)
3. San Francisco Giants (77-85) 3. Colorado Rockies (79-83)
4. Colorado Rockies (76-86) 4. San Francisco Giants (72-90)
5. San Diego Padres (69-93) 5. San Diego Padres (72-90)

Looking forward to another baseball season!

2008 predictions in review

I can’t believe I forgot to do this last year, especially given what happened in the American League East! In my defense, I was more interested in this prediction at the time.

For those of you just joining us, every year, baseballrelated.com presents the predictions from the baseball preview issue of Sports Illustrated, as well as the predictions produced by an extremely quick-and-dirty formula from a Bill James Baseball Abstract of the 1980s. It’s now time to compare the 2008 predictions against the 2008 final standings.

Sports Illustrated Bill James formula Actual results
AL East
1. N.Y. Yankees (94-68) 1. N.Y. Yankees (95-67) 1. Tampa Bay Rays (97-65)
2. Boston Red Sox (92-70) 2. Boston Red Sox (95-67) 2. Boston Red Sox (95-67)
3. Toronto Blue Jays (87-75) 3. Toronto Blue Jays (84-78) 3. N.Y. Yankees (89-73)
4. Tampa Bay Rays (80-82) 4. Baltimore Orioles (69-93) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (86-76)
5. Baltimore Orioles (64-98) 5. Tampa Bay Rays (64-98) 5. Baltimore Orioles (68-93)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (90-72) 1. Cleveland Indians (90-72) 1. Chicago White Sox (89-74)
2. Cleveland Indians (89-73) 2. Detroit Tigers (90-72) 2. Minnesota Twins (88-75)
3. Chicago White Sox (77-85) 3. Minnesota Twins (85-77) 3. Cleveland Indians (81-81)
4. Kansas City Royals (73-89) 4. Chicago White Sox (78-84) 4. Kansas City Royals (75-87)
5. Minnesota Twins (72-90) 5. Kansas City Royals (67-95) 5. Detroit Tigers (74-88)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (87-75) 1. L.A. Angels (92-70) 1. L.A. Angels (100-62)
2. Seattle Mariners (82-80) 2. Seattle Mariners (85-77) 2. Texas Rangers (79-83)
3. Oakland Athletics (75-87) 3. Oakland Athletics (82-80) 3. Oakland Athletics (75-86)
4. Texas Rangers (72-90) 4. Texas Rangers (77-89) 4. Seattle Mariners (61-101)
NL East
1. N.Y. Mets (91-71) 1. N.Y. Mets (91-71) 1. Philadelphia Phillies (92-70)
2. Philadelphia Phillies (86-76) 2. Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) 2. N.Y. Mets (89-73)
3. Atlanta Braves (85-77) 3. Atlanta Braves (82-80) 3. Florida Marlins (84-77)
4. Washington Nationals (73-89) 4. Florida Marlins (73-89) 4. Atlanta Braves (72-90)
5. Florida Marlins (72-90) 5. Washington Nationals (72-90) 5. Washington Nationals (59-102)
NL Central
1. Chicago Cubs (91-71) 1. Milwaukee Brewers (80-82) 1. Chicago Cubs (97-64)
2. Cincinnati Reds (87-75) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (80-82) 2. Milwaukee Brewers (90-72)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (85-77) 3. Chicago Cubs (79-83) 3. Houston Astros (86-75)
4. Houston Astros (74-88) 4. Houston Astros (76-86) 4. St. Louis Cardinals (86-76)
5. St. Louis Cardinals (73-89) 5. Cincinnati Reds (75-87) 5. Cincinnati Reds (74-88)
6. Pittsburgh Pirates (70-92) 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (68-94) 6. Pittsburgh

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Pirates (67-95)

NL West
1. Colorado Rockies (89-73) 1. San Diego Padres (89-73) 1. L.A. Dodgers (84-78)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-74) 2. Colorado Rockies (85-77) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks (82-80)
3. L.A. Dodgers (85-77) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (85-77) 3. Colorado Rockies (74-88)
4. San Diego Padres (79-83) 4. L.A. Dodgers (84-78) 4. San Francisco Giants (72-90)
5. San Francisco Giants (68-94) 5. San Francisco Giants (73-89) 5. San Diego Padres (63-99)

Neither prediction did particularly well in 2008. Both failed on the surprising Rays, and on predicting the Tigers to finish first (actually, the Bill James formula had them tied with the Indians). The Bill James formula also predicted the Padres to finish first — yikes.

But now we start with a clean slate for 2009, and two fresh sets of predictions. They will be posted here soon.

Predictions for 2008

Yes, this blog is still in business. It’s time for our annual look at the Sports Illustrated baseball predictions, all the better to laugh about later when the Cubs do not win the National League pennant. (Yes, that’s what SI has predicted — a Tigers-Cubs World Series, in fact, with the Tigers victorious.) As usual, they are accompanied by a set of predictions made using a quick-and-easy formula found in a Bill James Baseball Abstract from the ’80s (double last season’s win total, add the win total from two years ago, divide by 3).

Sports Illustrated Bill James formula
AL East
1. N.Y. Yankees (94-68) 1. N.Y. Yankees (95-67)
2. Boston Red Sox (92-70) 2. Boston Red Sox (95-67)
3. Toronto Blue Jays (87-75) 3. Toronto Blue Jays (84-78)
4. Tampa Bay Rays (80-82) 4. Baltimore Orioles (69-93)
5. Baltimore Orioles (64-98) 5. Tampa Bay Rays (64-98)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (90-72) 1. Cleveland Indians (90-72)
2. Cleveland Indians (89-73) 2. Detroit Tigers (90-72)
3. Chicago White Sox (77-85) 3. Minnesota Twins (85-77)
4. Kansas City Royals (73-89) 4. Chicago White Sox (78-84)
5. Minnesota Twins (72-90) 5. Kansas City Royals (67-95)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (87-75) 1. L.A. Angels (92-70)
2. Seattle Mariners (82-80) 2. Seattle Mariners (85-77)
3. Oakland Athletics (75-87) 3. Oakland Athletics (82-80)
4. Texas Rangers (72-90) 4. Texas Rangers (77-89)
NL East
1. N.Y. Mets (91-71) 1. N.Y. Mets (91-71)
2. Philadelphia Phillies (86-76)

2. Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
3. Atlanta Braves (85-77) 3. Atlanta Braves (82-80)
4. Washington Nationals (73-89) 4. Florida Marlins (73-89)
5. Florida Marlins (72-90) 5. Washington Nationals (72-90)
NL Central
1. Chicago Cubs (91-71) 1. Milwaukee Brewers (80-82)
2. Cincinnati Reds (87-75) 2.St. Louis Cardinals (80-82)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (85-77) 3. Chicago Cubs (79-83)
4. Houston Astros (74-88) 4. Houston Astros (76-86)
5. St. Louis Cardinals (73-89) 5. Cincinnati Reds (75-87)
6. Pittsburgh Pirates (70-92) 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (68-94)
NL West
1. Colorado Rockies (89-73) 1. San Diego Padres (89-73)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-74) 2. Colorado Rockies (85-77)
3. L.A. Dodgers (85-77) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (85-77)
4. San Diego Padres (79-83) 4. L.A. Dodgers (84-78)
5. San Francisco Giants (68-94) 5. San Francisco Giants (73-89)

In other news, although I have upgraded my TV watching to high-definition since last year, I have also had a schedule change at my job. I now work a normal Monday-through-Friday week, which means I will not be at home to watch the Opening Day games, as I did in 2007 and 2006 and 2005. Sorry about that. Perhaps by 2009, I will be independently wealthy, or I’ll use a day of vacation time.

The predictions in review

The predictions were posted on March 29th, and exactly seven months later, it’s now time to see how everyone did.

Actual results Sports Illustrated Bill James formula Levi’s predictions
AL East
1. Boston Red Sox (96-66) 1. N.Y. Yankees 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66) 1. Boston Red Sox
2. N.Y. Yankees (94-68) 2. Boston Red Sox 2. Boston Red Sox (89-73) 2. N.Y. Yankees
3. Toronto Blue Jays (83-79) 3. Toronto Blue Jays 3. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77) 3. Toronto Blue Jays
4. Baltimore Orioles (69-93) 4. Baltimore Orioles 4. Baltimore Orioiles (71-91) 4. Tampa Bay Devil Rays
5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays (66-96) 5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays 5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays (63-99) 5. Baltimore Orioles
AL Central
1. Cleveland Indians (96-66) 1. Cleveland Indians 1. Chicago White Sox (93-69) 1. Minnesota Twins
2. Detroit Tigers (88-74) 2. Detroit Tigers 2. Minnesota Twins (92-70) 2. Detroit Tigers
3. Minnesota Twins (79-83) 3. Chicago White Sox 3. Detroit Tigers (87-75) 3. Cleveland Indians
4. Chicago White Sox (72-90) 4. Minnesota Twins 4. Cleveland Indians (83-79) 4. Chicago White Sox
5. Kansas City Royals (69-93) 5. Kansas City Royals 5. Kansas City Royals (60-102) 5. Kansas City Royals
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (94-68) 1. L.A. Angels 1. L.A. Angels (91-71) 1. L.A. Angels
2. Seattle Mariners (88-74) 2. Oakland Athletics 1. Oakland Athletics (91-71) 2. Oakland Athletics
3. Oakland Athletics (76-86) 3. Texas Rangers 3. Texas Rangers (80-82) 3. Texas Rangers
4. Texas Rangers (75-87) 4. Seattle Mariners 4. Seattle Mariners (75-87) 4. Seattle Mariners
NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies (89-73) 1. N.Y. Mets 1. N.Y. Mets (92-70) 1. N.Y. Mets
2. N.Y. Mets (88-74) 2. Atlanta Braves 2. Philadelphia Phillies (86-76)

2. Atlanta Braves
3. Atlanta Braves (84-78) 3. Philadelphia Phillies 3. Atlanta Braves (83-79) 3. Philadelphia Phillies
4. Washington Nationals (73-89) 4. Florida Marlins 4. Florida Marlins (80-82) 4. Florida Marlins
5. Florida Marlins (71-91) 5. Washington Nationals 5. Washington Nationals (74-88) 5. Washington Nationals
NL Central
1. Chicago Cubs (85-77) 1. St. Louis Cardinals 1. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73) 1. St. Louis Cardinals
2. Milwaukee Brewers (83-79) 2. Chicago Cubs 2. Houston Astros (84-78) 2. Milwaukee Brewers
3. St. Louis Cardinals (78-84) 3. Milwaukee Brewers 3. Cincinnati Reds (78-84) 3. Chicago Cubs
4. Houston Astros (73-89) 4. Houston Astros 4. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85) 4. Cincinnati Reds
5. Cincinnati Reds (72-90) 5. Pittsburgh Pirates 5. Chicago Cubs (70-92) 5. Houston Astros
6. Pittsburgh Pirates (68-94) 6. Cincinnati Reds 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (67-95) 6. Pittsburgh Pirates
NL West
1. Arizona Diamondbacks (90-72) 1. L.A. Dodgers 1. San Diego Padres (86-76) 1. Arizona Diamondbacks
2. Colorado Rockies (90-73) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks 2. L.A. Dodgers (82-80) 2. L.A. Dodgers
3. San Diego Padres (89-74) 3. San Diego Padres 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (76-86) 3. San Diego Padres
4. L.A. Dodgers (82-80) 4. Colorado Rockies 3. San Francisco Giants (76-86) 4. San Francisco Giants
5. San Francisco Giants (71-91) 5. San Francisco Giants 5. Colorado Rockies (73-89) 5. Colorado Rockies

(Levi’s predictions, made in the comments to the March 29th post, didn’t actually include the Rockies, which I didn’t notice until I was preparing this table. If he wants to lie in the comments to this post and claim he meant to put them in first or second place in the NL West, that’s his prerogative.)

The predictions

Yes, my Sports Illustrated baseball preview issue arrived a week ago, but their predictions were printed on a dark green background in white text that came out a little blurry in my copy. And that’s why it’s taken me so long to post these!

Also, I realize I haven’t yet used Bill James’s quick-and-dirty prediction formula as I’ve done previously.

Sports Illustrated Bill James formula
AL East
1. N.Y. Yankees 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66)
2. Boston Red Sox 2. Boston Red Sox (89-73)
3. Toronto Blue Jays 3. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77)
4. Baltimore Orioles 4. Baltimore Orioles (71-91)
5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays 5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays (63-99)
AL Central
1. Cleveland Indians 1. Chicago White Sox (93-69)
2. Detroit Tigers 2. Minnesota Twins (92-70)
3. Chicago White Sox 3. Detroit Tigers (87-75)
4. Minnesota Twins 4. Cleveland Indians (83-79)
5. Kansas City Royals 5. Kansas City Royals (60-102)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels 1. L.A. Angels (91-71)
2. Oakland Athletics 1. Oakland Athletics (91-71)
3. Texas Rangers 3. Texas Rangers (80-82)
4. Seattle Mariners 4. Seattle Mariners (75-87)
NL East
1. N.Y. Mets 1. N.Y. Mets (92-70)
2. Atlanta Braves 2. Philadelphia Phillies (86-76)
3. Philadelphia Phillies 3. Atlanta Braves (83-79)
4. Florida Marlins 4. Florida Marlins (80-82)
5. Washington Nationals 5. Washington Nationals (74-88)
NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals 1. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73)
2. Chicago Cubs 2. Houston Astros (84-78)
3. Milwaukee Brewers 3. Cincinnati Reds (78-84)
4. Houston Astros 4. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85)
5. Pittsburgh Pirates 5. Chicago Cubs (70-92)
6. Cincinnati Reds 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (67-95)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers 1. San Diego Padres (86-76)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks 2. L.A. Dodgers (82-80)
3. San Diego Padres 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (76-86)
4. Colorado Rockies 3. San Francisco Giants (76-86)
5. San Francisco Giants 5. Colorado Rockies (73-89)

The biggest surprise in the Sports Illustrated predictions is the position of the Cubs, but I guess that’s the eternal optimism for you.

Their World Series pick is for a freeway series, Angels over the Dodgers. Incidentally, they’ve changed the parking procedures at Dodger Stadium this year (and raised the parking rate from $10 to $15 in the process), so any late-arriving fans can be ascribed to the parking attendants not knowing what they’re doing, rather than the usual apathy.

My schedule is clear for Monday and MLB Extra Innings will definitely be on DirecTV, if nowhere else, so I’m ready for another year of Opening Day blogging.

(Note primarily to myself for future reference: here’s how I fixed the problem with the

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table.)

Not in Levi’s catalog

This is from the 1988 Baseball Abstract, but it’s not written by Bill James; it’s the work of Mike Kopf (briefly mentioned in this article), and is one of several “book reviews” taking up three pages’ worth of space between the National League East and the National League West.

Darkness at Noon (The Battle Over Night Baseball at Wrigley Field)
Mike Royko
University of Chicago Press, 286 pages, $19.95 ($14.95 when purchased during daylight hours)

More interesting, these days, than the Cubs performance on the field is the ongoing battle over installation of lights in the friendly confines. This is a controversy, as Royko points out in his inimitable manner, that has torn close-knit Chicago families asunder, much as the Dreyfus affair is said to have done in France. Indeed, police reports for the past two years note an otherwise inexplicable increase in intrafamily homicides, as well as a seemingly endless array of bar wars, the patrons dividing into vitriolic camps of “suns” and “lights.” Even teenage gang warfare in the Windy City, it is rumored, has crossed racial and ethnic lines to become a battle between “days” and “nights.”

Not surprisingly, Chicago’s notoriously corrupt politics has played a major role in the controversy. At first, skittish aldermanic and mayoral candidates tried to straddle the ivy, so to speak, but inevitably were forced to take sides. An already volatile situation was made worse when both pro- and anti-abortion activists jumped into the fray. The anti-abortionists began holding protest marches and labeled themselves “right to lightsers,” while the pro-abortionists, predictably, came out in favor of “choice” and called for a Supreme Court ruling. This moved the “right to lightsers” to contemplate a constitutional amendment mandating the installation of lights.

Against this hysteria, even the remnants of the old Democratic machine felt themselves powerless. The late Mayor Washington, after flip-flopping on the issue at least twice, found himself finally vituperated by all factions, and Royko, in his most shocking disclouse, reveals that not everyone in Chicago is convinced that the Mayor died of natural causes: foul play by right to lightsers, who have long threatened a terrorist campaign, is suspected by many. Into this whirlwind stepped a newly appointed Mayor, and as the book went to press, his promise to appoint Jesse Jackson as head of a mediation committee seems at least temporarily to have calmed the storm. But lights or no lights for Wrigley remains one of the most volatile issues of our time, and readers are Royko’s book are sure to come away enlightened and yet disheartened, because, as with Catholic versus Protestant in Ireland, or Arab versus Jew in the Middle East, no solution seems on the horizon.

Also reviewed: Water Under the Bridge: The Mysterious Death of Ed Delahanty; What, Me Worry?: An Insiders’ Account of the ’87 Twins (by Al Newman); The Secret Diaries of Shoeless Joe Jackson; and Ate Men Out: A Culinary History of Fat Men in Baseball.

Bill James on…football?!

Now that we’re deep into the NFL playoffs, here’s Bill James in the 1988 Baseball Abstract, complaining about the integrated major league/minor league system in baseball:

Another of the ugly features of the current system is the abuse by club owners of their monopolistic position in negotiations with cities. Although major-league baseball has a relatively good record on this point in the last fifteen years, a good example of what can happen is what has happened to the football St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals, who may be the Phoenix Assholes or something by the time you read this, are owned by an oversized wart named Bidwell. The Cardinals have a perfectly good stadium, Busch Stadium, a major-league facility in every way; nonetheless, Mr. Bidwell is not satisfied. He wants a new stadium, all his own, and he wants the city of St. Louis to tax its $18,000-a-year citizens to build it for him, and if he can’t have that at the very least he feels he is entitled to have several hundred luxury boxes constructed for him at taxpayer expense so he can sell them to rich people for $150 a game. In effect, Bidwell is telling the people of St. Louis that if they don’t give him millions of dollars he will deprive them of their status as a major-league football city — while Phoenix stands by, anxious to give him millions of dollars to acquire that status. It’s an appalling situation, the most blatant abuse of monopolistic power.

The good news is that St. Louis got rid of the Cardinals, who are the worst team in the history of professional football (even though they’ve been around forever, you can’t call them a “storied franchise,” because they have no stories). However, St. Louis ended up deciding they couldn’t live without an NFL team, so a $280-million domed stadium was built for the Los Angeles Rams, who wanted out of Anaheim. Following their move to the Phoenix area, the Cardinals have been in temporary residence at Arizona State University’s Sun Devil Stadium for over a decade and a half. I’ve been to both, and can report that Sun Devil Stadium is not as nice a facility as Busch Stadium. But now, finally, the Cardinals are getting a $371 million stadium of their own for the 2006 season (and $267 million of that is coming from public funding). The luxury boxes, I’m sure, will sell for many times more than $150 a game.

At any rate, in the process of all this, both Busch Stadium and Anaheim Stadium became baseball-only facilities, and got renovations befitting that status.

More baseball Christmas

As with last year, I spoke too soon. Arriving today in the mail was a gift from Levi and Stacey: The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2006, and you can tell they’re serious about the “annual” thing this time because they remembered to include a year in the title. I’m sure Levi likes it because of the profile of Cardinals general manager Walt Jocketty; everyone else can enjoy the two articles by Bill James, which include statements such as “The Royals walk less than Stephen Hawking.”

Back to Bill James

From the 1988 Baseball Abstract, preceded by six pages of imaginary dialogue, here’s Bill James’s list of the 20 best players in baseball:

  1. Wade Boggs
  2. Tim Raines
  3. Ozzie Smith
  4. Don Mattingly
  5. Tony Gwynn
  6. Darryl Strawberry
  7. Dale Murphy
  8. Roger Clemens
  9. Rickey Henderson
  10. Kirby Puckett
  11. Mike Schmidt
  12. George Bell
  13. Jack Morris
  14. Pedro Guerrero
  15. Alan Trammell
  16. Eric Davis
  17. Ryne Sandberg
  18. Phil Bradley
  19. Dwight Gooden
  20. Dwight Evans

With the benefit of hindsight, this still looks like a pretty good list, except maybe for Phil Bradley.

By the way, if Levi is even more scarce around here than usual, it’s because he’s got his very own blog now, solely devoted to books he’s been reading lately. He reads a lot.

No need to play the games

Now we can get back to Bill James. Using a quick little formula provided in the 1986 edition of the Baseball Abstract, here are the early predictions for 2006:

AL East

N.Y. Yankees (93-69)
Boston Red Sox (91-71)
Toronto Blue Jays (77-85)
Baltimore Orioles (76-86)
Tampa Bay Devil Rays (71-91)

AL Central

Chicago White Sox (90-72)
Cleveland Indians (87-75)
Minnesota Twins (84-78)
Detroit Tigers (73-89)
Kansas City Royals (62-100)

AL West

L.A. Angels (91-71)
Oakland A’s (87-75)
Texas Rangers (82-80)
Seattle Mariners (70-92)

NL East

Atlanta Braves (90-72)
Philadelphia Phillies (86-76)
Florida Marlins (83-79)
N.Y. Mets (80-82)
Washington Nationals (78-84)

NL Central

St. Louis Cardinals (97-65)
Houston Astros (88-74)
Chicago Cubs (82-80)
Milwaukee Brewers (78-84)
Cincinnati Reds (76-86)
Pittsburgh Pirates (72-90)

NL West

San Diego Padres (83-79)
San Francisco Giants (81-81)
L.A. Dodgers (79-83)
Arizona Diamondbacks (72-90)
Colorado Rockies (71-91)